“Bitcoin Will Crash To $10 By Mid-2014” – Business Insider | $887.63Bitcoin is not a legitimate currency but simply a risky virtual commodity bet. . . . Bitcoin lacks the essential attributes that are needed to support a widely recognized transactional currency. If Bitcoin was allowed to proliferate as a currency it would produce greater economic uncertainty, reduced trade and lower individual standard of living.
“A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail” – The New York Times | $955.67The developers of bitcoin are trying to show that money can be successfully privatized. They will fail, because money that is not issued by governments is always doomed to failure. . . . Bitcoin, or something like it, will thrive until the authorities do better.
Estas 'previsões' só encontram paralelismo nas efectuadas sobre a internet no princípio dos anos 90, e que tem sempre o seu interesse recordar:
No one would ever buy a damn thing over the computer
"In a 1995 article, Newsweek magazine stated—in a manner befitting an old man shocked to find women now expose their ankles at the beach—that no one would ever “buy books and newspapers straight over the Internet” and that you could never “tote that laptop to the beach.” The thought was apparently that nothing changes, EVER, which would make sense if the Sears Roebuck catlaog was still the main form of entertainment and the leading cause of death was accidental wheat scythe beheadings. But instead, 2012 saw people spend $1 billion a day shopping online during the holiday season ....the very same year Newsweek ended its print run."
The Internet will end…in 1996
Robert Metcalfe, the inventor of Ethernet, once proclaimed, "I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." Which was an unusual statement given that he said it in 1995, meaning he thought the Internet had a mere 12 months before it would destroy itself and society would have to go back to using mail or well-aimed scribbled paper airplanes to argue over the rather recent ending of “Star Trek: The Next Generation.” What Metcalfe meant was that the Internet was growing far too quickly for the technology to support it. That prediction obviously turned out not to be true…unless the Internet really did supernova, killing us all and so we now live in a heavenly state in which we still can’t get the new SimCity to work properly online.
Quanto a nós, a verdade é que quando uma tecnologia é substabcialmente melhor do que as existente, acabará por se impôr. Assim, a questão que fica não é quando a Bitcoin vai morrer, mas sim quando teremos a centésima morta associada.
Estamos em crer que tal como a internet não morreu em 1996, também o fenómeno da Bitcoin ainda só está a começar.
Fonte | Tradução por jornal bitcoin.pt